Around 40 flights from the Middle East land at Minsk airport everyday. Thousands of migrants amass on the border to Lithuania, Latvia and Poland to put pressure on their border controls. The numbers keep rising because Belarusian President Alexandr Lukashenko issues plenty of ‘tourist visas’ to load his weapon, the weapon of mass migration. The migrants are a retaliation for EU’s sanction which followed election fraud, a brutal crackdown and the forced landing of an Irish airline flight to arrest oppositional blogger Raman Pratasevich Раман Пратасевіч.
Our public broadcaster aired a speech by Detlef Flintz which sounds like a page from the Great Reset playbook. And it is shockingly direct. Yes, you will consume less. Yes, you will be forced. Yes, you will produce differently. Yes, masses will have to rely on welfare. Yes, we will rebrand it as basic income. Yes, we do make comforting promises about its sufficiency. Telling the masses these things plainly is so far the most brash test balloon that I have seen.
Donald Trump is chasing the bills. Germany is notoriously remiss in spending the promised 2% of its GDP on Defence. The attitude is a mix of ingratitute, anti-Americanism and pseudo-pacifism. Why would anybody take precautions if, on your behalf, American soldiers will put their lives on the line? It is so easy to be a pacifist while the heat is low, particularly if you can rely on others to take it, should push come to shove.
Of course, Germany does have an army, the Bundeswehr, which used to be very respected, at least until the Russians got out of the country and the debilitating cuts began. They see their obligation in assisting NATO partners with mission participations they are poorly equipped and adequate for. The self-set task is to clear the seas with the British and to patrol the African deserts with the French, albeit the partners have a long-standing history and understanding of their territories while the Germans are exhausting themselves as multi-specialised and ultimately unspecialised aides.
The problem is therefore twofold: In addition to the low budget the troops lack focus.
Various weapon systems are in shambles. According to the “Report on the Material Employability of the Main Weapon Systems of the Bundeswehr in 2019”
less than 50% readiness can be expected of the Tornado (jet), the CH-53 (helicopter), the Lockheed P-3c Orien (maritime surveillance aircraft) and tanker ships class 704; less than 40% can be expected of the PUMA (tank), A400M (carrier aircraft), H 145M LUH (helicopter), GTF ZLK (hardshell truck) and NH-90 (helicopter).
And while Germans were so comfortable in their pseudo-moral shirker-parcifism, they whittled down their stable energy system to become ever more reliant on Russian gas.